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Another Eleven Months - 12-Jul-99

12 Jul 1999
 
  Note: The translations of articles from the Hebrew press are prepared by the Government Press Office as a service to foreign journalists in Israel. They express the views of the authors.

Another Eleven Months

(Commentary by Chemi Shalev, "Ma'ariv", July 12, 1999, p. A3)

Yesterday's meeting at the Erez crossing was mainly a ceremonial transition from "reciprocity" to "partnership," in the spirit of "an end to the term of Benjamin Netanyahu and its curses, and the start of the Ehud Barak era and its blessings." In well-orchestrated diplomatic performances, Barak is telling the world that the era of revulsion with the political process is over. Prior to leaving for Washington, he is asking regional leaders to accept his credentials as a peace-maker in the major leagues, where the late Yitzhak Rabin was considered a power forward.

Hosni Mubarak, Yasser Arafat and certainly King Abdullah are now prepared to cooperate with Rabin's heir-apparent, but it appears that they are being careful not to go overboard. The three leaders in Barak's opening hand understand that they are only a prelude to the main event that will take place in a few days at the White House -- and they are ready, together with Israeli public opinion, to sit back and wait for what is yet to come.

Barak's political discussions are intentionally minimalist with much good will and little content. Just one meeting, or half a meeting, and we are already overcome with a dull sense of routine and of, truth be told, deja vu. It can even be said that there is a firm basis to suspect that, just as during the tiresome coalition negotiations, we are again at the starting point of a multi-purpose, multi-phase Barak plan that will yet make everyone crazy -- with the possible exception of Bill Clinton, if Barak manages to persuade him.

The very use of the word "mapping" should trigger red lights of an immediate association with the endless series of futile meetings in the corridors of the Knesset. In fact, some have said that Barak even spoke of "transparency" with Mubarak. Barak also believes in a precise and ambitious definition of his objective within the political process, while keeping all of his cards close to his chest in a "maturing" process with its own internal rhythms. Here too, Barak intends to reach a stage of parallel negotiation so that he can play among Syria and the Palestinians as if they were Shas and the Likud. Here too, it can be assumed, Barak is counting on the fact that the situation will be perfectly ripe just minutes before everyone despairs of any progress.

Barak was given 45 days to form a coalition and took advantage of the full time allotted. His new deadline is 11 months from now, when he will have to make good on his promise to bring the IDF out of Lebanon. It must thus be understood that a significant amount of time will still pass until we reach the climax. All that remains is for us to hope that what was good for the coalition is also good for the Middle East.

 
 
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